Scott Kirwin (mail) (www):
Lieberman has one last card: switch parties.

To do so would throw the Senate into Republican hands.

It's Joe's Nuclear Option - and he can only play it once.

Will he? And if so, when?
2.11.2008 4:02pm
Tom Hawkson:
The card expires the minute a Senate seat switches hands. But since Bush has shown a wonderful facility for making Democrats back down on Iraq, I doubt he'll ever have reason to play it.

Yours,
Wince
2.11.2008 4:06pm
Dean Esmay:
His best time to play it would have been soon after his re-election, or, to wait until after the new composition of the Senate is known in 2009.

I don't think the DNC is out of line here, but I have to ask: have they done this to other superdelegates who endorsed a candidate outside the party? This is surely not the first time a Democrat has endorsed a Republican, or vice-versa, during election season. It happens every election cycle, in fact.
2.11.2008 4:16pm
jaymaster (mail):

And who gets his super delegate vote now? A Hillary supporter??
2.11.2008 4:29pm
Dean Esmay:
Now that is an interesting question. My bet would be that this superdelegate position goes unfilled, but if it looks like it might matter....
2.11.2008 4:42pm
zach.:
Dave,

do you get it? if lieberman wants to be a republican that's fine, it's his right. but he can't expect to hold sway in the democratic party without supporting the democratic candidate for president. similarly, why should he even want a superdelegate vote since he clearly feels neither democrat is capable of holding the office?

democrats can still be baffled by his decision, since ostensibly most democrats should feel that their own candidates can better prosecute the gwot than republican candidates.
2.11.2008 5:01pm
TallDave (mail) (www):
democrats can still be baffled by his decision

Sure, if they don't get it. Lieberman understands the GWOT is a serious issue.

since ostensibly most democrats should feel that their own candidates can better prosecute the gwot than republican candidates

Again, not if they're paying attention. It is impossible to reasonably argue that handing control of Sunni Iraq to Al Qaeda could be anything but catastrophic for the GWOT. That is the position of people who either think the GWOT is more of a bummper sticker than a vital issue, believe counter to all to the facts that U.S. troops are the problem in Iraq, or are simply against whatever Bush does.
2.11.2008 10:03pm
jaymaster (mail):
This brings me back to the topic that led me to drop the f-bomb on mikeca last week.

Has the GWOT dropped of the radar for even the GOP?

Many Republicans who were railing against Bush a few years ago did so because they thought he wasn’t aggressive enough in the GWOT. The Rumsfeld thing, being weak on Iran, etc.

And now it’s many of those very same folks who are speaking out the most loudly against McCain.

If there is one area where McCain has a more “conservative” track record than Bush, it’s with the GWOT. So what gives?

And as I was saying, if something big goes down in the Mid East, or another terrorist attack occurs, will these semi-conservatives come around to McCain?
2.11.2008 10:52pm
zach.:
Dave,

you're being ridiculous. If you think McCain is better able to handle Iraq that's fine, you should definitely vote for him. But the Democratic position is NOT "hand Iraq to AQI." Lieberman, for his part, doesn't get IT, he gets YOU. You agree with him so he must get it, and anyone who disagrees simply hasn't put enough thought into the issue?
2.12.2008 9:49am
TallDave (mail) (www):
But the Democratic position is NOT "hand Iraq to AQI."

I'm sorry, but it clearly is.

Obama and Hillary have both said very specifically that they will withdraw combat troops on a timetable, regardless of conditions on the ground.

I mean, really. What did you think "no open-ended commitment" meant?

If you think McCain is better able to handle Iraq that's fine

How well they would handle it is a moot point if one side is committed to leaving no matter what.
2.12.2008 10:49am
TallDave (mail) (www):
and anyone who disagrees simply hasn't put enough thought into the issue?

Well, again, some people think our troops are the problem in Iraq. Anyone holding that belief clearly is not familiar with the facts. They don't get it.

I'm not claiming any kind of particular perspicacity here. It's fairly obvious to any reasonable person who looks at the facts that our troops are helping keep the peace and empower moderates.

Other people think the GWOT is more of a bumper sticker than a serious issue. They don't get it.

Still others, such as yourself, seem to believe we can bring our combat troops home by a date certain, but don't seem to realize that implies we leave whether or not AQ still has safe havens there. Yes, I would humbly suggest putting more thought into that.
2.12.2008 11:03am
zach.:
Dave,

Please don't presume to know what it is I believe. When have I ever said that we should leave by a date certain? I support withdrawal based on benchmarks, not a timetable. All I am trying to say is that you can think deeply about the issue (get it, in other words) and come to the conclusion that Hillary, or even Obama, is the right person to lead the way forward in Iraq. McCain is not the only option.

I'm not here to argue for a Democratic candidate. If you decide that McCain is the right choice, then again, that's fine. I think it's totally reasonable. If Lieberman wants to endorse McCain then he should go right ahead. But it's stupid to claim that it's because Lieberman's the singular member of the Democratic party to "get" the issue. It's also silly to expect that the party wouldn't react harshly to his endorsing who will become the titular head of the opposition party. McCain has opposed the party on more than one occasion and it's turned him into a pariah with the party elite. Why should the Democrats be any different?
2.12.2008 11:32am
TallDave (mail) (www):
When have I ever said that we should leave by a date certain?

No, what I meant was you apparently don't grasp the implication that we must leave AQ safe havens if they still exist at that date, if we leave by a date certain (since you argue that handing Sunni Iraq to AQ is not the Dem position, and the Dem position is to leave by a date certain). Sorry, re-reading I see that was unclear from my phrasing.
2.12.2008 11:45am
TallDave (mail) (www):
I'm not here to argue for a Democratic candidate.

I am here to argue for whomever will support human liberty.

But it's stupid to claim that it's because Lieberman's the singular member of the Democratic party to "get" the issue.

I'm sure there are others. Unless the Dem nominee adjusts his/her position, I expect they, too, will vote for McCain this November.

It's also silly to expect that the party wouldn't react harshly to his endorsing who will become the titular head of the opposition party.

Of course it was expected. What's a little odd is that they are "baffled" by his choice. Obviously, they don't get it, or they would understand, even if they disagreed.
2.12.2008 11:51am
TallDave (mail) (www):
All I am trying to say is that you can think deeply about the issue (get it, in other words) and come to the conclusion that Hillary, or even Obama, is the right person to lead the way forward in Iraq. McCain is not the only option

Sorry, but that simply isn't true. McCain is the only candidate who has committed to "lead the way forward in Iraq." The others have committed to leaving Iraq, by a date certain.

Again, this is a perfectly reasonable position if one proceeds from the assumption that U.S. troops are the problem in Iraq, or that the GWOT is not a serious enough issue to warrant American combat troops in Iraq (and so AQ safe havens in the Sunni triangle are an acceptable outcome), or that whatever Bush does is wrong.
2.12.2008 12:04pm
zach.:
Dave,

okay, I think it's fair to say that if the democratic establishment "bafflement" is honest (and it almost assuredly isn't), then they, unlike the rest of america, don't get Lieberman.

the Dem position is not leaving by a date certain. Obama has come the closest to this with his withdrawal timetable, but even he is hedging now. Clinton's position is that she will convene the Joint Chiefs to draw up a plan for withdrawal, but doesn't mention any specifics about how or when or by what criteria a withdrawal will take place.

Even still, leaving AQ strongholds in Iraq doesn't mean giving Iraq to AQI. Even Obama maintains that he will leave forces in the region to enact targeted strikes against AQ activity.
2.12.2008 12:08pm
TallDave (mail) (www):
Obama has come the closest to this with his withdrawal timetable, but even he is hedging now

Well, I hope to see a lot more hedging between now and November. As I've said before, there's a lot to like in a President Obama -- if he moderates.

Even Obama maintains that he will leave forces in the region to enact targeted strikes against AQ activity.

Well, that was the pre-9/11 strategy in the Sudan and Afghanistan, and is similar to the pre-surge strategy in Iraq. I would argue that the flaws in such a strategy are well-established, most notably that airstrikes and targeted strikes cannot protect the populace on a daily basis, leaving them open to intidimidation and putting them in a position where they must support AQ or die.
2.12.2008 12:11pm
zach.:
Dave,

I would agree it's not the best strategy for Iraq (it may be appropriate in some circumstances) but it is still a far cry from leaving Iraq and wiping one's hands.
2.12.2008 12:48pm

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