Dean's World

Defending the liberal tradition in history, science, and philosophy.

Florida Predictions?

Got any? Is it Hillary or Barak? McCain, Romney, or Rudy?

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Kevin D (mail) (www):
I'm thinking Thompson comes out the clear winner for both parties because by force of his will alone every Florida voter wrote is name in unawares.
1.29.2008 3:51pm
Maniakes (mail) (www):
Hillary and McCain. The polls consistantly show both them with leads (Hillary leads by double digits in every poll. McCain's lead is small but consistant -- of the polls tracked by RCP, only ARG, which has a hideous track record this year, shows Romney with a lead), and I think the voting-by-mail in Florida hurts Romney as much of his support was gained during the last few days. Vote-by-mail helps Rudy more than McCain, but I think Rudy is too far back for VBM to put him over the top.
1.29.2008 3:57pm
Inv A. DeSoda (mail) (www):
Why again are Florida's Democratic delegates not supposed to be able to vote at the convention? Is it because they always whine about being disenfranchised? Because this won't help.

And yeah, Hillary and McCain. And Rudy will drop out if he loses Florida.
1.29.2008 4:19pm
TallDave (mail) (www):
I'm going with Chad, the 2000 winner.
1.29.2008 4:19pm
jaymaster (mail):
I’m going with the opposite of whoever Aziz picks.

His failures have been spectacular!
1.29.2008 4:54pm
CERDIP (mail) (www):
Didn't they hang Chad?
1.29.2008 5:11pm
CaliforniaJOSH:
I'm so glad McCain is doing well, even though I want Giuliani. Since Giuliani probably wont get the nomination, and McCain will, I feel happy that my #2 choice is 95% of what I want in a candidate.
1.29.2008 5:35pm
McKiernan:
Somebody please put a fork in Rudy Guiliani, he's done.

Well, except in Mt. Horeb where the slow cook roast takes a verry loong time.
1.29.2008 7:03pm
Vic Stein (mail):
Ok, NOW can I say that Guiliani's strategy was incredibly stupid?
1.29.2008 7:46pm
McKiernan:
Not yet, he hasn't conceded or is that conceited ?
1.29.2008 7:53pm
Sandi (www):
So far it doesn't look like it matters.

It looks very likely that front runners of neither party will have enough delegates for a lock come convention time.

If so that is something that is long overdue.
1.29.2008 8:54pm
Hank Barnes (mail) (www):
I have predicted for some time now the following match-up in November:

Obama-Webb v. McCain-Thompson

Obama is the shaky one, here. He almost had a first round knock-out in New Hampshire, but Hillary, to her credit, got up and won a big one.

Now, Obama has 7 days to make a dent on Super Tuesday. It's looking iffy -- hope he pulls it off.

HankB
1.29.2008 8:55pm
McKiernan:
And Thompson is yesterday's stale fried rice.

So how do you predict a VP when the only decider is the person what wins the first slot >
1.29.2008 9:02pm
Vic Stein (mail):
"He almost had a first round knock-out in New Hampshire, but Hillary, to her credit, got up and won a big one."

It's interesting because if the media hadn't spun so hard on this, the story would be that he had a huge increase in support there to make it a tight race, instead of presenting it as a disappointment.
1.29.2008 9:51pm
Hank Barnes (mail) (www):
It's interesting because if the media hadn't spun so hard on this, the story would be that he had a huge increase in support there to make it a tight race, instead of presenting it as a disappointment.

Stein, it is the rare occasion to commend you on being absolutely right on this one. The overhype of Obama post Iowa infected everybody.

McKiernan,

I notice you comment on my prediction, without making one of your own. Typical, old man!

HankB
1.29.2008 10:57pm
McKiernan:
Hank, dear lad,

One cannot predict, the predictable only of which requires the singular person of one's party's electoral nominee to choose.

Agreed, I didn't make a prediction, but I did request a fork be placed in Mr. Guiliani since
he is done and prior to which I wished a fork be placed in hizzoner's political body as a rememberance of his fore-shortened political adventure.

May all beings be happy.
1.29.2008 11:09pm
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