Dean's World

Defending the liberal tradition in history, science, and philosophy.

It's all about Chuck

Chuck Hagel has it all figured out: He's gambling that there's enough anger on the right towards George Bush and the GOP parliament of fools to forgive him — no, reward him — for selling out the President and, essentially, the Republican Party on Iraq.

And, he figures — correctly, as I show here — there's enough love for him in the liberal media for his doing just that, that he will be rewarded with every Senator's obsession: That Pennsylvania Avenue address.

But Senator Hagel is, more than ever, contemptible to (and, I would say, probably contemptuous of) the people who volunteer, fund and vote in the primaries of his own party. And the road to the White House, for him, can only be through that party. And thank God, that's a road Chuck Hagel is going nowhere on.

Posted by Ron Coleman | Permalink | Technorati Trackbacks
Tim_the Soldier (mail):
Oh yes Ron, Sen Hagel is a sellout. I mean, you have much more experience and insight into his decision making process than probably even he does. I wonder why he never consulted you before he decided to use his own mind and conscience. How dare he vote what he believes as opposed to voting along party lines!! That bastard!

There is a difference between being against liberating Iraq and liberating Iraq the way the Bush administration has conducted the "certainly no more than 6 months" war.

I have no idea what you and Dean and all the other Iraq war supporters (stay the coursers) are smoking. We need to seriously regroup, redeploy, and return with an all-out vengence to win this conflict, but it's going to take major sacrifices (read financial, taxes, rationing, retooling Ford, GM, etc...) from the American public....let's win this thing right! I don't want to PussyBush this thing anymore. I would definately say that leaving Iraq totally is better than what we are doing now, but not better than doing it right.
3.28.2007 8:09pm
Martin L. Shoemaker (www):
Tim, put up or shut up. What's your plan, and what's your evidence it would work any better than what's already working pretty well there now? And what are your metrics? I want metrics that clearly show this war as a "failure" and yet would show the following as successes:

WWII.

The Civil War.

The Spanish-American War.

The Revolution.

The Korean War.

The Barbary Pirates war.

The Balkans.

The Cold War.

Panama.

I haven't heard a single metric that makes a bit of sense that can be applied across the board and show that every single one of the above conflicts was a victory (and I don't know anyone who seriously claims otherwise) and that Iraq is a failure. Not troop deaths, not deaths per time period, not battles lost, not costs, not duration, not economic rebuilding, not political rebuilding, nothing.

I'm willing to grant that you have more experience in this than me. So educate me. Tell me a measure or set of measures which clearly or at least marginally shows all of those past conflicts as victories and yet clearly shows Iraq as a defeat.

Otherwise, all you have is, "It would've been even better if..." Which we can never really know, so we can't use it as a metric.
3.28.2007 8:24pm
Tim_the Soldier (mail):
Oh, well Mr. Shoemaker, I believe there are many plans now. There were others before the war, but rejected even though the did call for more troops...you know, overwhelming force...400,000 Soldiers...a little more upfront costs, but ultimately less expensive than what we going to have to spend.

Now, the problem with saying "oh yea, what would you do?" is that it's akin to sitting in the passenger side of a car with your friend driving like a maniac. Obviously you're going to complain, but it's his car right? Well, just as he's driving over a 5,000 foot cliff, he's fed up with your complaining and yells - "you think you can do better Mr. Jeff Gordon? Here, take the wheel!"
3.28.2007 9:06pm
Ali Eteraz (mail) (www):
by way of callimachus and sideways menken:

the iraq war is analogous to a fire in the bed in which the wife is screaming bloody hell and the husband is urinating to put it out.
3.28.2007 9:14pm
Martin L. Shoemaker (www):
In other words, Tim, you got nothin'. Absolutely no measure that shows how Iraq is a failure.

And Ali, you have less than nothing. You would betray your fellow Muslims for the sake of French and German and Russian oil and arms profits, all in the name of an illusory international consensus; and that realization is starting to gnaw at you. So you'll reach for strained and bizarre analogies because you don't have any facts on your side.
3.28.2007 9:22pm
Tim_the Soldier (mail):
Yes, I've got nothing, and nothing is what the Iraqi people are going to be left with unless we get a clue.
3.28.2007 9:28pm
Martin L. Shoemaker (www):
They've already got a lot more than nothing. What rankles you is that it was a Republican President who helped them get it.

And still you've got nothing but assertions. No facts, no data, no metrics, simply assertions.
3.28.2007 9:45pm
Tim_the Soldier (mail):

"...it was a Republican President who helped them get it."


No. That's not it. The Republican party hardly has a monopoly on poor leadership. This is a Bush/Cheney/Rumsfeld failure not a republican failure. Those individuals just happen to be republicans. I'll place blame where it belongs, and I'm not the only one. By now, most people have read retired Gen. Paul Eaton's work, so to say that I've got nothing is ridiculous.

Oh, I need a metric? Are thousands of Iraqi civilians being blown up on nearly every corner of Iraq a metric or is it just subjective? I've noticed that Michael Yon is not being linked to any longer. Hmmmm...could it be that he hasn't exactly painted the picture that Bush apologists want to see?

Here's what we've lost against a group of insurgents:

* 20 M1 Abrams tanks
* 55 Bradley fighting vehicles
* 20 Stryker wheeled combat vehicles
* 20 M113 armored personnel carriers
* 250 Humvees
* 500+ Mine clearing vehicles, heavy/medium trucks, and trailers
* 10 Amphibious Assault Vehicles

Not to mention how many Citizen Soldiers of the world have been killed nor the probably 200,000 plus Iraqi civilians killed. Now, Sadaam was a butchering bastard, but he didn't kill nearly that many. Oh, but he gassed his own people you say? Well, we didn't care about that back in 1988-89. In fact, we didn't really care until oil stability was in jeapardy and he invaded Kuwait.

Quick trivia: Who stood down Sadaam Huessein back in 1990? How about the man you fake patriots try to demonize: Joe Wilson - a lifelong republican.

I need data and metrics? No, it is YOU who need to supply evidence that things are going well. What have you got? Looks like 10 lbs of shit in a 5 lb bag to me. (Those aren't my words, those are the words of an intelligence officer returning from his 3rd tour in Iraq.)
3.28.2007 10:41pm
Martin L. Shoemaker (www):
That's only half the exercise, Tim. Apply that metric (if you can call it that) to all those other successful conflicts, and show how they fare better. If you can't, then you've still got nothing.
3.28.2007 11:16pm
Ronald Coleman (mail) (www):
Quick trivia: Who stood down Sadaam Huessein back in 1990? How about the man you fake patriots try to demonize: Joe Wilson - a lifelong [R]epublican.
Oh, yeah, he really stood Saddam down, didn't he:
For his part, Wilson remained in his job as U.S. charge d’affaires at the U.S. embassy in Baghdad following Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait. He was in regular touch with the Iraqi Foreign Ministry in late 1990 seeking the release of U.S. citizens that the Iraqi government was holding as “special guests” in response to the United States mobilizing for an attack on Iraq.

Wilson also participated in negotiations to convince Iraq to end its occupation of Kuwait in order to avoid a war. In December 1990, Wilson said he would be “tremendously disappointed if there is a war. If you consider that war represents the failure of diplomacy, then that means we will have failed.” He stayed in Baghdad until early January 1991 when he left the country only days before the United States began its bombardment of Iraq and its campaign to oust Iraqi forces from Kuwait.
3.28.2007 11:35pm
M. Scott Eiland (mail):
Chuck Hagel couldn't be elected the President of a local bridge club if he needed Republican votes to win.
3.29.2007 3:16am
mikeca (mail) (www):
Chuck Hagel is trying to do what he thinks is best for his country. He has placed his duty to the country above the duty to his party. He has recognized that to fix Iraq we don’t need a surge of 20k to 30k troops, we need a surge of 200k to 300k more troops. The hard truth is the US just doesn’t have that many more troops, and at this point we aren’t going to get anyone else to help us. We either need to start adding 500k to 1000k men and women to the army, or give up and go home.

Read General McCaffrey’s latest assessment. While I think everyone agrees that the new strategy is a big improvement over the old strategy, and there are some hopeful signs, the situation in Iraq is really serious. McCaffrey points out that we have captured 27,000 fighters and killed around 20,000 since the insurgency began. In spite of that, the insurgency is stronger now than it has ever been. The insurgency keeps taking very heavy battlefield casualties, and still gets stronger and more sophisticated. That is not a good trend.
3.29.2007 3:57am
Tim_the Soldier (mail):
Well, let's see. Iraq is a nation of roughly 27 million people, they've suffered a conservative estimate of 270,000 civilian casualties. What's that, about 1% of the population? It doesn't sound that bad until you realize that if we were talking about the U.S. we would be talking about losing 3 million people in less than 5 years. I don't know about you, but that sounds pretty bad, and I didn't even take into account how many Iraqis fled the nation...a few million I've read. And they are the educated ones who truly want a secular democratic government established but see the writing on the proverbial wall.

I guess when you compare it to WWII it's not that bad. Certainly Russia, Poland, Germany, France lost a far greater % of people than Iraq. I just thought we had raised the bar a little over the past 50 or so years.
3.29.2007 4:24am
Ronald Coleman (mail) (www):
Tim, why don't you factor in the number of Iraqis (including Kurds) and Iranians who were murdered by Saddam Hussein during his reign? Or don't they count for some reason?

Mike, Hagel can be sincere -- but then he's really stupid. At least the Democrats are part of a movement to humiliate the President and can pretend they really think it is a serious strategic option to vote in favor of surrender in the middle of an ongoing conflict. Hagel can't claim that cynical but, in political terms, understandable justification.

I'm not debating the war here. I'm talking about the patent stupidity of a policy of voting to withdraw troops in the middle of an ongoing conflict. I am stunned that the transparent idiocy of this policy from a military, strategic and political point of view is not admitted by everyone. Certainly neither General McCaffrey would not endorse it. (Nor am I that impressed with the fact that he considers himself to have been dead wrong a year ago. Which General McCaffrey should we trust?)

Hagel is the story because his political excuse for it is entirely personal.
3.29.2007 9:06am
Martin L. Shoemaker (www):
So, Tim, you're saying that your objective measures prove we lost World War II. At least you're consistent. Consistently wrong.
3.29.2007 9:08am
Ronald Coleman (mail) (www):
Oh, and by the way. If your concern is the number of civilian deaths in Iraq, withdrawal by the US is the last thing you'd want to see - by a long shot.
3.29.2007 9:50am
Tyrone Steels II (mail) (www):
HMM! My ONLY and PRESSING concern in Iraq is how do we stop the Sunni and Shi'ite "Hatfields and McCoys" type of violence. It's been around for hundreds of years. Because the democratic Iraqi government will continue to have an extremely hard time spreading their influence with massive gang violence rolling around the cityscape and countryside. I'm an American. I love America. I love democracy. But American hasn't faced what Iraq is facing now in their struggle for democracy. Can you imagine the Catholics and the Baptists waging violent conflict in the USA with the singular determination of the violent nutjobs in the Sunni and Shi'ite groups? Police would be overburdened. Martial law. If your a Catholic or Baptist and wasn't engaged in the violence, you be trembling in fear. And those of us not involved getting blown up at the local farmer's market trying to purchase tomatoes for a salad?

That's what I'm seeing. Is what I'm seeing wrong? How so?
3.29.2007 11:16am
Tyrone Steels II (mail) (www):
Notice I said "violent nutjobs". Not everyone.
3.29.2007 11:17am
Martin L. Shoemaker (www):
Well, Tyrone, since you used it as your metaphor... I haven't heard many shots in that Hatfield-McCoy feud lately. So apparently "feud" doesn't necessarily mean "forever".
3.29.2007 11:25am
John B. Irving (mail):
But American hasn't faced what Iraq is facing now in their struggle for democracy.

True. All we had was a revolution against an overwhelmingly superior adversary who was distracted by larger concerns, multiple small rebellions roughly quivalent on scale to the current Iraq insurgency, duels, assassinations, and a little deal that started at Fort Sumter and kinda worked its way from there.


Can you imagine the Catholics and the Baptists waging violent conflict in the USA with the singular determination of the violent nutjobs in the Sunni and Shi'ite groups? Police would be overburdened. Martial law.

I don't think "determination" is the word you are looking for, but we've had plenty of homegrown groups and individuals willing to commit atrocities of similar scale to the insurgents attacks, and yet they have not yet instituted martial law.

The primary reason for the horrifying attacks against Iraqi civilians is not to convince anyone in Iraq, it is to break the will of the American public. Are we that easily broken, barely sixty years after we fought mass murderers on a much grander scale?
3.29.2007 2:31pm
Tyrone Steels II (mail) (www):
Maybe I'll just wait and hope for the best. I have a cousin over in Iraq so I'll just keep supporting him and the troops and go from there. I'm just impatient honestly about the whole Iraq situation honestly.
3.29.2007 3:39pm
Elisha Feger (mail) (www):
I thought this was about Chuck Norris...
3.29.2007 4:35pm
Ronald Coleman (mail) (www):
I wouldn't dare, Elisha!
3.29.2007 5:07pm
Elisha Feger (mail) (www):
But Chuck Norris can divide by zero!
3.29.2007 6:01pm
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